================================================= CONTEXT OF "PAX AMERICANA" I have written "Pax Americana" chapters as posts to a particular discussion thread of a Yahoo list. I have initiated the thread and chosen the title which points to the longest period of peace in European history resulting from USA having saved Europe from Nazis and imposed post war measures which made this peace possible. The thread has been started with my following assertions: 1.The world tends necessarily towards mondialisation which implies some form of domination by a single power. 2.Eliminating sad comedies such as the UN and powerless committees such as Europe, the real mondial power options seem to be: Russia, China, Islam and USA. 3.Of these options I have postulated USA, or "Pax Americana" as preferable by orders of magnitude. 5.Best not necessarily meaning "ideal", nor even "good", I endeavored to indicate drawbacks of the USA option which may prevent it from reaching the domination, as well as some of its disadvantages for the eventually dominated world. The worst of them is IMO the "American View", the complex of beliefs, cliches and prejudices governing American social and political reason and behavior. Particular chapters of "Pax Americana" try to illustrate on some important examples how the originally laudable American enterprises may get muddled in detail by the American View, sometimes to the extent of turning into catastrophes and crimes against humanity. The objective of the thread is to foster discussion and investigation which could indicate how the American View could be modified so that Pax Americana may become efficient as well as beneficial to the mankind. ================================================= =============================================== CONTEXT OF "JIHAD" The "Jihad" message has been written just after 911, President's Bush declaration of state of war and its ratification by involved legislative bodies. At this time this decision has been supported by about 92% Americans and opposed by about 8% social failures of the Fuzzy Bottom calling themselves Peace Fighters. Fighting for peace sounding a bit like drinking for sobriety, I prefer the shorter name "peaceniks". Now, in times of war or menace thereof, peaceniks represent typically the fifth column of the aggressor amid people cornered into defense. To keep a long story short, we shall just mention the French and English peaceniks who carry the responsibility for WWII. When Nazis were crossing the Rhine bridge to annex the Rheinland, a single French company would have turned them back and check further growth of Nazism, but France, dominated by peaceniks got cold feet and withdrew. Anschluss of Austria could have been prevented with a firm threat of intervention of France, England and Poland accompanied by adequate armament effort. Hitler was still too week to stand to the challenge. But England and France dominated by peaceniks got cold feet. And, culminating with the famous "Mourir pour Danzig?" in the name of peace at any price, presented Hitler with Czechoslovakia, whose large armament industry added to his own made him strong enough to start the WWII at the scale, he did. "Peace at any prise" of the peaceniks results usually in war which otherwise could be avoided or reduced in scope. Normally thinking people know that there is no "peace as such", that peace is a relation among several countries or other social groups, that it is an alternative to war. They usually prefer this alternative, unless attacked or threatened to be attacked by a strong aggressor. Then "peace" becomes for them "surrender" with the consequences of enslavement or extermination. They know that in this situation, peace, the real peace may only be achieved by fighting and winning the imposed war, like Finland did in defense from the Gulag empire. At the moment of writing this message, Jihad, which since 50 years endeavored to exterminate Israel, extended over the whole Free World which found itself, like Israel in war. President Bush, whether you like him or not, became CIC of our side of this war. In war you obey your CIC or you are a traitor. I hated Roosevelt, but as agent of Polish Resistance, thus of Intelligence Service I actually fought for him, as he was our CIC. It's important to note that this message has been written before there was question of Iraq. I wrote that America was "two wars behind" and that the "American View" may muddle issues with sometimes disastrous results. I'm sorry to see that my prophecies came true in Iraq. Not "Iraq war", but "Iraq campaign" within the WWIII Jihad war. But we do not intend to talk here about Iraq. If Allah permits, we shall talk about it in a future dedicated thread. =============================================== Pax Americana JIHAD =============================================== STATE OF WAR ----------------------------------------------- We (USA and their individual and collective allies) are in the state war for the simple reason that we have been aggressed and that USA President declared the state of war. You may say, my US friend, that you disagree and I'll say that you may just as well disagree with gravity. You may say that Bush does not speak for you and you will be wrong: he is your President such as you elected and such as you merit and in time of war he does speak for you. I did not vote for him, so I did not elect him nor I merit him, you may say, and you will be wrong: even if you did not vote for him, you elected him by accepting the Constitution and the current election system and you merit him because you never did anything against this election system. If you really suffer so much under Bush and his tyranny you may always ask for political asylum. In Iraq or in Lybia for instance. Or in a loony bin. You may also try to be brilliant and post clever messages about Bush being stupid and corrupted. All you will achieve is to make an ass of yourself and look like a guy who draws clever grafittis in toilets. We are in war and in war one should disregard toilet grafittis and rally around the President such he is, such as the people merit for having elected him. A common shunting device consists in diverting our attention from the current war by discussing the EVENTUAL, FUTURE "war" against Iraq. The eventual Iraq campaign will not be a war, but a battle in the war which we are already fighting. It will happen if and when the Commander in Chief (Bush in our case) decides after discussions with his advisers. There is nothing there for us to discuss as there was nothing for us to discuss in planning the Normandy landing. =============================================== NEW TYPE OF WAR AGAINST SHADOW ENEMY Our enemy is not Iraq, nor Islam, nor a particular guy called Bin Laden. Our enemy is a Shadow "Jihad" whose symptoms we observe in Israel bombings, in the 911, in Bali. Whose syndroms we observe in mass hysteria stirring up Muslim countries and mobilizing our own Fuzzy Bottom to demonstrate in the streets, but whose virus stays as yet out of exact knowledge and control. Our Secret Services will have to trace the bug and, together with the military, to determine proper remedies. As all investigation proceeds by trial and error, we must be prepared for some more or less painful blunders, hopefully not as bad as those of Vietnam. =============================================== TWO WARS BEHIND In Vietnam Americans were one war behind NV's hit and run strategy. Presently we are two wars behind Jihad's hit and vanish strategy. For the moment nobody seems to know how to make up this retardation. In preceeding chapters we have seen negative and positive examples which may be used here as lessons and guidelines. Always keeping in mind that blind application of past experience can only be noxious. Lessons of the past should be mapped to current reality where they may help to find original solutions of sometimes similar but never identical problems. Let's have a look at some current problems and such lessons of the past as may appear useful. =============================================== HIT AND VANISH ----------------------------------------------- USA were one war behind NV's strategy of hit and run. Americans could not properly anticipate the hits, although the objectives were strictly limited to their own units. Pursuites of enemy running after hit were paralyzed by the political decision forbidding to cross the 17th parallel. With respect to the similar Jihad's hit and vanish strategy, we are two wars behind. Anticipating is practically impossible, as virtually anything may become objective of a hit. The same applies to the "vanish" part of the scenario. We cannot follow a kamikaze through the frontier he has chosen to cross. Nor can we follow a terrorist in a Muslim country who after having hit steps into the immediate safety amidst the sympathizing crowd. What could be done about it? Let me use an example from my Zen Combat experience. I may deviate a blow or a kick, but I cannot deviate a bullet. However, anticipating enemy's shot I can at close range deviate the pistol before the bullet quits it, or, at longer range, I can shoot at enemy's pistol. Always on condition of having anticipated the danger. We can hardly deviate a kamikaze about to blow himself but we could destroy the unit planning and controlling his mission before he leaves. We don't know how to do it? True, so we better learn. For one successful attack Israeli secret service neutralizes 40 attempts in the bud. USA could ask them and who says they don't? However, it's a half measure. Indeed, for the first time even Israel is one war behind. She can deal only with those attacks which are planned in Palestine. But Jihad has world dimension and unless we learn and dare to bring the war to whole enemy's territory, we are bound to lose it. To bring it to his Shadow territory, across the Shadow front. In Vietnam Americans did not dare to cross the 17th parallel. For the moment we cannot even localize our shadow parallel and if we could I don't know if we would dare to cross it. =============================================== DARE OR SURRENDER ----------------------------------------------- Patton said in 45 about the Soviets: < If we have to fight them, now is the time. From now on, we will get weaker and they will get stronger. > Unfortunately, USA Presidents who screwed up the Vietnam war forgot those words. Let's hope that Bush remembers the lesson: < When going to war, go and neutralize the enemy, whoever he is, wherever it takes you and at whatever cost. Or, if you are scared, surrender. > ----------------------------------------------- SELECTIVE INSECTICIDE AND REGULAR WAR Does that mean that we should go to war against all Muslim countries, because they accommodate Jihad's units? Certainly not. Such wars would involve only the hosting countries, but not Jihad's units which would stay safely in hiding or move elsewhere. We must conceive a new strategy aiming at Jihad without involving host countries, similar to a selective insecticide. Entebe pattern jumps to the mind. Israel did not go to war against Uganda but with a commando operation freed all hostages and neutralized the terrorists. According to what I said above, we should not clone Entebe, but learn from it. And the lesson would be: 1.Creative imagination. In a few days Israel conceived a new strategy of using gliders to assure surprise and constructed such gliders. 2.Citizens' Army with competence at all levels and with risk hierarchy corresponding to that of responsibility. This spirit is illustrated by the unique casualty of the operation: the death of the general in command. This being said, in special cases where a whole country identifies itself with Jihad we may have to go to regular war against it. US President's decision after such consultations as he judges adequate. ----------------------------------------------- INTELLIGENCE ABROAD Selective insecticide implies the knowledge of the particular insect and of its whereabouts, 70-80% of anti-Jihad war will have to be be performed by Intelligence. Intelligence of new type: an intelligent Intelligence. Freed from the flat dogmatism of American View. Capable to distinguish between Muslim enemy and Muslim friend, to recognize an enemy under WASP and anti-terrorist appearances and declarations. Capable to penetrate Muslim countries and supported by new methods and technologies, whose development should become one of the first priorities and budget positions. ----------------------------------------------- INTELLIGENCE AT HOME The toughest issue for us to swallow. As we all may be, one way or another, objectives of attack and, on the other hand, each of us may be Jihad's agent, we have all to be supervised. Methods and technology should be developed by Intelligence Agencies. Our part is either to cooperate, or to passively or actively oppose the supervision. 92% Americans support Israel, Bush and will doubtless support any efficient measures defending them from Jihad's attacks. 8% of the Fuzzy Bottom don't play any role even if they make themselves visible through demonstrations, through toilet grafitti and provide the majority of prattlers on WEB lists. Let's remember that opposing government decisions in time of war has a name: "treason". But let's not worry to much about our prattling friends. Their treason has the quality and the weight of toilet grafittis. ----------------------------------------------- CITIZEN INVOLVEMENT Much have been said here about Israeli citizens' army. Do we want it in USA and other US allies? No. We don't want clones. For "intelligence at home" we don't need an army, but we certainly need citizens' involvement. Let me mention an example of my Israeli experience which seems to me quite pertinent to our issue. Like a lot of Israelis I joined the "citizens' police". Each time I had a few hours free I signed in at a police station, got a cap, a gun and went to the streets with all rights of a regular cop. Usually we watched at night with a few neighbors the shore area for terrorists coming with boats, as they frequently did in Haifa. Sometimes I went to the railway station and checked the papers of arriving passengers. Several times I made an ass of myself checking Israeli officers, including a general. But once I asked an Israeli captain for his papers, he refused, I arrested him and delivered him at the gun point to the MP. He turned out to be a PLO agent, particularly dangerous, because speaking perfect Hebrew and playing perfectly an Israeli officer. Again, we do not want clones. I cannot say if citizens' police would be what USA want. But I believe that citizens' involvement, that some kind of militia dealing with security and justice corresponds to American tradition. Without some form of citizens' involvement USA will be defenseless with regard to Jihad's attacks. ============================================== With these few assertions I do not intend to preach how to win the Jihad war. All I wish is to initiate a discussion. I did not even start to investigate the nature of the conflict. Is it a clash of religions, of ethnies, of civilizations? I did not talk about the most important problem, the American View. It involves a whole Weltanschaung with dogmatic principles and habits of reasoning deforming the perception of reality. What can be done about it? If you believe, like me, that we face the problem of our very survival, you may react to this post. If not, I envy you. ==============================================